AI in 2030: Five Predictions That Will Age Terribly

Prediction is hard, especially about the future. But that has never stopped anyone in tech. Here are five predictions about AI in 2030 that we are fairly confident will age like milk.

1. AGI will arrive by 2027. Every year, AGI is two years away. It will still be two years away in 2030.

2. AI will replace all content writers. AI will change writing, but the demand for human voice and perspective will increase, not decrease. We will value human-written content more because it is scarce.

3. Self-driving cars will be everywhere. They will be in more places. They will not be everywhere. Infrastructure is hard.

4. AI companions will replace human relationships. People said the same about social media, video games, and television. Humans stubbornly insist on being human.

5. One company will dominate AI. The history of technology is the history of rotating dominance. Today's leader is tomorrow's also-ran. Ask IBM, Yahoo, Myspace, or BlackBerry.